America's reliance on foreign oil jeopardizes key
national security interests. Most oil consumed in the
United States comes from regimes at high risk of
political instability. In addition, several major suppliers pursue
international objectives strongly at odds with American
interests. Finally, there is compelling evidence that the dollars
we spend on foreign oil impede democratization and further
entrench oppressive authoritarian governments around
the world.12
Canada, which is the United States' single largest supplier
of oil, is a stable, democratic and friendly neighbor. The next
eight largest suppliers of oil to the United States are rated by
the Economist as either at "high risk" or "very high risk" of
political instability.13 In fact, 68% of U.S. petroleum imports
come from countries in those two categories, making the
United States strikingly vulnerable to potential oil supply
shocks arising from domestic disturbances or broader
regional conflicts affecting just one
of the major oil exporters.
Some of our key suppliers
include Iraq (5% of total
imports), a nation
still in the midst of
severe domestic
conflict and at
risk of splintering
along
ethnic and
sectarian lines;
Angola (4%), a
corrupt, quasidemocracy
that
only recently
emerged from a
decades-long civil
war; Nigeria (8%),
another quasi-democracy
with a long history of
military rule and governmental corruption; and Algeria (4%),
a country that within the past 15 years suffered a civil war
that resulted in over 160,000 deaths.

In addition to the risk of instability, several large suppliers are
actively hostile to American interests. American oil dollars
fund Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez who has gradually
eroded democracy in Venezuela and has sought to export his
unique brand of authoritarianism and anti-American demagoguery
throughout the Western Hemisphere. Oil dollars
also fund an increasingly authoritarian Russia that seeks to
reassert some control over former Soviet Republics and may
be threatening U.S. efforts to contain nuclear proliferation,
particularly acting as a de facto protector of Iran's nuclear
ambitions. Even Saudi Arabia, a nominal U.S. ally, is a significant
cause of concern for American interests. Saudi Arabia
has dramatically curtailed aid to radical Islamist terror organizations
since 9/11, but continues to fund schools, charities,
and severe interpretations of Islam that serve as incubators
for violent extremists.
More generally, the massive amounts we spend on oil serve to undermine America's interest in promoting the spread of democracy. Oil money allows authoritarian governments to maintain power without popular consent. It creates a tremendous incentive toward corruption and the establishment of kleptocracies. Oil money encourages unnecessary arms races and promotes regional conflict.14
U.S. dependence on foreign oil increases the risks faced by the nation and significantly jeopardizes core U.S. national security interests in democratization and regional stability. The imperatives of climate change as well as traditional U.S. national security calculations both support greater energy independence and an overall reduction in our reliance on petroleum.
American Security Project Executive Director Dr. James Ludes responds to criticism of the intelligence community's parternship with climate scientists - "facts show this to be a low-cost, wise use of American intelligence assets."
Computer models predict a much drier Texas on par with or even exceeding 10- to 30-year "megadroughts" of past centuries, and these changes carry potentially enormous implications for agriculture, wildlife, water, infrastructure, public health, businesses and energy use.
On XM Radio's Left Jab, ASP Board Member Lieutenant General Claudia Kennedy, US Army (Ret.), discusses her work with the American Security Project and how important it is to inform the public and public opinion leaders about the national security implications of climate change.