Addressing the security
implications of climate
change is simple in
concept and difficult in execution.
The policy responses are
straightforward. The United
States would be more secure
if we reduced our carbon
emissions and persuaded
others to do the same. The
best way to do so would be to
invest in a dramatic expansion
of alternative energy production
capacity -- notably, wind, solar,
and nuclear -- combined with a
massive investment in shifting
our transportation infrastructure
from its reliance on internal
combustion engines fueled
by gasoline to electric and
hydrogen-powered vehicles.
Translating this concept into
action is hampered by two sets
of factors -- public opinion and
the state of existing technology.
While there is a solid -- and growing -- consensus in the United States that climate change is both real and a consequence of human activity, there remain significant challenges. First, a large percentage of the public remains skeptical of the science despite the overwhelming evidence. Some of these skeptics are professional contrarians, but many are simply poorly informed individuals. The public education challenge remains significant. Second, many are concerned about the capacity of the federal government to address climate change fairly and effectively, and prefer not to enact policies that would expand the reach and power of Washington. Finally, there are many Americans who consider climate change a pressing issue, but who are worried about supporting a vigorous effort to address climate security because of the potential and real costs to themselves, their communities, and the nation.
The state of existing technology
is also a challenge.
Transitioning to alternative
energy on a mass scale
would be tremendously
costly, and in the case of
some economic sectors
essentially impossible at the
present time. There is a great
deal of uncertainty about
the future costs. Optimists
argue that greater investment
in alternative energy would
generate economies of scale
and more rapid innovation.
Pessimists argue that much
of the science of alternative
energy is mature and that
transformational developments
are unlikely. Nuclear
energy also raises a special
set of concerns as memories
of Three Mile Island and
Chernobyl linger in the public
consciousness.
As a practical matter, a dramatic shift away from the use of coal for electricity production would require a significant investment in nuclear power. But nuclear plants are large and expensive, raising challenges of both power transmission and financing. Nuclear plants also produce hazardous waste that must be safely stored for many centuries.
Transforming the transportation infrastructure could be even more daunting. There are over 250,000,000 motor vehicles on American roads.1 Replacing or converting even a significant percentage of them would be a massive undertaking. Investing in additional electricity generation for batterypowered vehicles, or in a hydrogen distribution system would be even more expensive. As a consequence, changes are likely to be made at the margins over a period of decades, ensuring that unless we begin charting a new course immediately, our actions could occur too late to mitigate the worst consequence of climate change.
American Security Project Executive Director Dr. James Ludes responds to criticism of the intelligence community's parternship with climate scientists - "facts show this to be a low-cost, wise use of American intelligence assets."
Computer models predict a much drier Texas on par with or even exceeding 10- to 30-year "megadroughts" of past centuries, and these changes carry potentially enormous implications for agriculture, wildlife, water, infrastructure, public health, businesses and energy use.
On XM Radio's Left Jab, ASP Board Member Lieutenant General Claudia Kennedy, US Army (Ret.), discusses her work with the American Security Project and how important it is to inform the public and public opinion leaders about the national security implications of climate change.